Supply rise sends natural-gas futures to 7-month low

MARKET PULSE Archives
July 17, 2014, 3:25 p.m. EDT

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Natural-gas futures NGQ14 -3.67% on Thursday settled at their lowest since late November, rocked by a larger-than-expected increase in supplies. Earlier Thursday, the Energy Information Administration reported an injection of 107 billion cubic feet in natural-gas inventories for the week ended July 11. Analysts polled by Platts had expected an increase of up to 99 bcf. The August natural gas contract settled 4% lower at $3.9540 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil futures , however, got a boost Thursday from Wednesday's surprise supply decrease and a flare-up on concerns about Ukraine. Oil for August delivery rose 2% to end at $103.19 a barrel on Nymex.

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It has lower to go for generally Price lows for year are seen in late Sept

With most of NG production now happening far inland, even hurricanes will no longer provide much price support.

in my experience, most storms don't do significant damage to gom gas production and gas infrastructure. but if one does, even today, it can cause meaningful price rises on the affected pipeline(s) until things are put back together. today, having all of the onshore shale gas sure ameliorates the sorts of storm induced price panics we saw  b.s. (before shale). 

one of life's little ironies is that unless a storm takes out significant gom production facilities and/or gas transport/processing, ect. infrastructure, the usual storm kills more electric load than what production is temporarily shut-in.

that's because for a few days up to weeks after the storm, lots of times the gulf coast power grid in the vicinity of land fall is down/damaged. and, even if not much of the grid is knocked out, the a/c load is greatly reduced until the remnants of the storm have bugged out. lots of times a storm's remnants will track all the way up the east coast killing load for a day or two or three all the way up.

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